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Fantasy Pool Look: Fast start or real deal?

Darryl Dobbs
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Center Kyle Turris of the Phoenix Coyotes is off to a nice start in his rookie season, picking up four points in four games. (Photo by Norm Hall/NHLI via Getty Images) Author: The Hockey News

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Fantasy Pool Look: Fast start or real deal?

Darryl Dobbs
By:

This early in the season there are some odd names scattered across the points leaderboard. These surprise players are surging for various reasons, but there is an easy indicator that will tell you whether or not they will continue to produce: TOI, or time on ice.

If a forward who is getting 11 minutes of ice time per game has six points in four games, one of two things will happen. The most common is he will come down to Earth and post numbers you might expect from someone logging that amount of ice time – probably in the 35- to 55-point range.

Occasionally, however, you will see a coach take notice of the impressive productivity and bump the player’s ice time up. Here is a look at some of the overachievers and the odds they will see more ice in the future.

Aaron Voros, NYR
Currently seeing just more than 11 minutes per game, an amount that won’t increase by much. Still, seven points in seven games is impressive for a PIM guy.
Odds of averaging more than 14 minutes per game: 0%

Michael Nylander, WSH
After missing most of last year, Nylander is being eased into the lineup. Despite seeing just 14:48 per game, he has six points.
Odds of averaging more than 16 minutes per game: 75%

Guillaume Latendresse, MTL
He is seeing a lot of time with Saku Koivu, but three of his five points were against Toronto. He is currently playing 13:59 per contest.
Odds of averaging more than 15 minutes per game: 0%

Marek Svatos, COL
He has two points in three games, while playing an average of just more than 12 minutes. However, he gets this kind of ice time every year, so don’t expect a bump.
Odds of averaging more than 13 minutes per game: 0%

Derick Brassard, CLB
The super rookie is playing just less than 15 minutes per contest, but is already seeing an increase. He’s tied for the scoring lead in Columbus with four points.
Odds of averaging more than 17 minutes per game: 75%

Jakub Voracek, CLB
Another super rookie on the Jackets, Voracek is not even averaging 12 minutes per contest, yet he has three points in four games. His ice time will come.
Odds of averaging more than 15 minutes per game: 75%

Fabian Brunnstrom, DAL
All three of his points came in his NHL debut, but in his first two games his average ice time was just 13:25. The Stars are deep, so it would be tough to expect more.
Odds of averaging more than 14 minutes per game: 10%

Sergei Kostitsyn, MTL
Playing just 14:09 per game, Kostitsyn has four points. The Habs are deep, so this is probably as much as you will see. Long-term, however, this younger Kostitsyn brother will be a first-line stud.
Odds of averaging more than 15 minutes per game: 25%

Kyle Turris, PHX
He has four points in four games despite seeing less than 12 minutes per game. As he acclimates himself to the NHL, his ice time will surely improve.
Odds of averaging more than 15 minutes per game: 75%

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Darryl Dobbs’ Fantasy Pool Look is an in-depth presentation of player trends, injuries and much more as it pertains to rotisserie pool leagues. Get the edge in your league - check out the latest scoop every Tuesday and Saturday throughout the season. Also, get the top 300 roto-player rankings on the 1st of every month in THN’s Fantasy section.

Do you have a question about fantasy hockey? Send it to the Fantasy Mailbag.

Want more fantasy insider information or to contact The Dobber? Check out dobberhockey.com.

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Fantasy Pool Look: Fast start or real deal?