THN’s top 200 fantasy players for 2016-17

Matt Larkin
Carey Price (Andy Devlin/NHLI via Getty Images)

The World Cup of Hockey should be an entertaining distraction this September. It will cut into some players’ prep time for the 2016-17 NHL season, and the same inconvenience applies to fantasy pool GMs. You’ll want to have a strong sense of your personal player rankings by September, as watching the World Cup will cut into your studying time.

I’m here to help with my annual top 200 player rankings. This list blends goalies and skaters into a master breakdown tailored for anyone drafting in leagues with multiple stat categories. The rankings below are based on a standard Yahoo head-to-head format with the following categories: goals, assists, plus-minus, penalty minutes, power play points, wins, goals-against average, save percentage and shutouts.

As I say every year, these are fantasy rankings, not real-life rankings. I do not believe Artemi Panarin is better than Jonathan Toews at hockey, but I do believe Panarin will deliver more points for your pool.

Note the conspicuous absence of goalies in this initial draft of the top 200. I count only 17 guaranteed what I call a “true starter’s workload” of 50 games or more. The timeshare situation creates a nightmare for fantasy GMs. If you don’t get one of the elite starters, you can wait until late in your draft to take a stopper.

With that, let’s begin. Watch for periodic ranking updates throughout August and September leading up to the season. Share any disagreements and point out any glaring omissions in the comment section. Thanks!

Aug. 19 update: Just a quick rejig here. The list has had time to breathe, so I’ll reassess a couple of my ranking decisions. We won’t see major movements until training camps and the World Cup arrive.

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Who will be 2016-17’s breakout NHL stars?

Matt Larkin
Jake Allen (Jeff Curry/NHLI via Getty Images)

Martin Jones was a revelation in the San Jose Sharks’ crease last season. He appeared n more games than all but four goalies. He finished second in the NHL in shutouts, third in wins and seventh in goals-against average. His sample size entering 2015-16, after the L.A. Kings traded him, was tiny, but Jones generated plenty of buzz nonetheless. There was a reason Sharks GM Doug Wilson felt Jones was worth a first-round pick. Plenty of prognosticators expected Jones would bust out, and he did.

Who will take the mantle from Jones and become a star in 2016-17? Let’s look at some breakthrough performers from last season and who might follow in their footsteps next.

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The top 30 unrestricted free agents of 2016 – UPDATED

Matt Larkin
Steven Stamkos.  (Photo by Scott Audette/NHLI via Getty Images)

A few prominent unrestricted free agents have come off the board over the past week, most notably Keith Yandle and Alex Goligoski, but plenty of big names remain in a rich 2016 class. My top 30 UFAs:

Age: 26
2015-16 cap hit: $7.5 million

Never has a talent of his caliber hit the open market so young. Could flirt with a record deal unless the blood clot scare drops his price. SIGNED: Eight years, $68 million with Lightning

Age: 28
2015-16 cap hit: $2.8 million

More productive than Andrew Ladd or Milan Lucic in recent years. Okposo less of a name brand and lacks Cup ring, so might come cheaper. SIGNED: Seven years, $42 million with Sabres

Age: 32
2015-16 cap hit: $4.5 million

More mileage than most at his age. He’ll still strike it rich as a big, mean center with excellent two-way skills. SIGNED: Five years, $30 million with Bruins

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Mock draft: how will the first round go down in Buffalo?

Ryan Kennedy
Jakob Chychrun (Photo by Claus Andersen/Getty Images)

We are achingly close to the 2016 draft in Buffalo. The first round is Friday night and there is a lot of anticipation about what might happen. While Auston Matthews will still get his coronation in Toronto, late speculation was casting doubt upon what would follow. Is Winnipeg hot on Jesse Puljujarvi? Does Columbus want to trade the third pick? Personally, I don’t believe any draft rumors that happen in the final week – especially when so many people in the industry were partying in Las Vegas last night – but hey, the draft is unpredictable. Here’s what I see happening in the first round, assuming no trades are made (ha ha, like that’s realistic).

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Top 10 trade candidates at the 2016 NHL draft

Matt Larkin
Marc-Andre Fleury. (Getty Images)

Draft day has usurped trade deadline day and free agent day as the NHL’s most exciting off-ice event, and it’s not because of the drafting. The last weekend in June has become a lightning rod for blockbuster trades because, unlike at the trade deadline, almost every franchise is a theoretical suitor for any available player. The market doesn’t necessarily split between buyers and sellers. Every team has winning in mind, albeit some make moves for the short term and some trade for long-term assets.

Last June gave us the jaw-dropping Dougie Hamilton deal on draft day, and that was just the beginning. Milan Lucic, Martin Jones, Ryan O’Reilly and Carl Hagelin, among many others, also changed teams over the weekend. Phil Kessel, Patrick Sharp and Brandon Saad followed days later.

It’s a virtual guarantee some marquee names move next week in Buffalo, with all 30 GMs scurrying around the First Niagara Center’s floor. Who are the top 10 draft-day trade candidates? Ponder these players, ranked from least to most likely.

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Game 4 notebook: Sharks need to get an early lead, Tomas Hertl won’t play

Tomas Hertl (Nick Lust/NHLI via Getty Images)

SAN JOSE – Going into Game 4 of the Stanley Cup final, the Pittsburgh Penguins have held the lead for 69 minutes and 20 seconds of the 194 minutes and 53 seconds that have been played in the series. The San Jose Sharks, by contrast, have held the lead for zero minutes and zero seconds.

The reality is that the Sharks have been chasing this series since the opening faceoff in Game 1 and that will have to change if they have any designs on winning the series. A win in Game 4 would help their cause to be sure, but a decisive win where they jump out into the lead and keep it would really change the complexion of the series.

Sharks coach Peter DeBoer is well aware of this development. His team has won 13 games in the playoffs and has scored first in 10 of them. “I think early in the playoffs, it was a huge part,” DeBoer said. “I think the L.A. series, we had the lead almost every game, maybe other than one. It’s a big part. The scores show that. The team that scores first usually wins. We get it. We’ve got to find a way to get it going. It’s not like this has been an issue throughout the playoffs. I think we’ve actually been pretty good at getting the first goal throughout the playoffs.”

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That ‘other’ big line could be key to Penguins Stanley Cup chances

Evgeni Malkin and Bryan Rust. (Getty Images)

PITTSBURGH – It bodes well for the Pittsburgh Penguins’ Stanley Cup chances if the term “big line” applies to any number of their forward trios. Sidney Crosby between Conor Sheary and Patric Hornqvist? Sure, that’s a big line, by virtue of Sid playing on it. The ‘HBK’ line of Carl Hagelin, Nick Bonino and Phil Kessel has been the talk of the playoffs.

But the line du jour giving opponents fits? Evgeni Malkin, Bryan Rust and Chris Kunitz. Rust has scored in three straight games dating back to the Eastern Conference final, including a breakaway dagger in Game 6 against the Tampa Bay Lightning, both goals in a 2-1 Game 7 victory and the first tally of the night in Game 1 of the final against the San Jose Sharks. Each of those Rust goals was assisted by Malkin or Kunitz.

And this line could hold the key to the rest of the final – because its fate could go in so many different directions.

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