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Brian Duff’s Blog: What's a Tim Thomas worth?

Tim Thomas leads the NHL in save percentage in .934. (Brian Babineau/Sports Action Photography)

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Tim Thomas leads the NHL in save percentage in .934. (Brian Babineau/Sports Action Photography)

Tim Thomas will win the Vezina Trophy this year.

And while it's not exactly breaking news, maybe it's time more people started reading that sentence aloud.

It's easy to look at the stats and realize he's a shoo-in to be at least a finalist, but the numbers don't tell the whole story.

Watch him.

Listen to him.

Feel the respect he has earned from his teammates, coaching staff and those who follow the team closely.

One of the great Thomas highlights of this season, for me, came back on Jan. 13, when the archrival Canadiens visited the Garden.

Boston's Aaron Ward got railroaded from behind by Andrei Kostitsyn and when the Montreal forward made his way to the front of the net, he was met with a cross-check to the back from Thomas. Kostitsyn got five minutes for the original hit, Thomas got two for roughing, and the Bruins beat the Habs again.

During all-star weekend in Montreal, Thomas put the spotlight squarely on himself during the draw for the Elimination Shootout by dealing Ilya Kovalchuk so he could face fan favorite Alex Kovalev. He wanted to play up the Boston/Montreal rivalry, and it worked.

Kovalev may have beaten Thomas on the first attempt, but ultimately Thomas prevailed on the next one, eliminating the Eastern Conference captain from the competition.

In Sunday's All-Star Game, Thomas managed to turn the jeers (for being a Bruin) to perhaps the biggest cheer (for a non-goal) with his incredible desperation save in overtime on Jarome Iginla.

Ironically, if it weren't for that save, Kovalev may not have won the MVP award and Thomas wouldn’t have walked away with an ASG victory.

As the soon to be 35-year-old Michigan native returned to regular season action Tuesday, there he was again in overtime, providing the NHL with one of its highlights of the night.

Thomas made a lightning quick right pad save on Nicklas Backstrom, who appeared to have the game clinched for the Caps. Five seconds later, the Bruins drew a penalty in transition and then won the game on the ensuing power play.

The Bruins are in a position to win the Presidents’ Trophy for the first time since 1990.

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Thomas is poised to become an unrestricted free agent this July.

How much is he worth? And for how many years?

It's a real tricky spot for the Boston organization because regardless of how well he's playing, his age has to be a major consideration. Should his game erode early on in a multi-year deal, there will be no way for the Bruins to buy him out because he'll be over 35. And let's not forget, salary cap mismanagement takes on even greater significance in difficult economic times.

Would anything less than a three-year deal be considered an insult for the Thomas camp and cause him to focus on greener pastures beyond the Massachusetts border?

Keep in mind, this is his one and only shot at the lottery.

GM Peter Chiarelli appears headed for a contract extension very soon.

When will Thomas get his?

YOUTH MOVEMENT
Staying on the goaltending theme, the most intriguing rumor around Montreal last weekend involved the Capitals and what their plan may be come playoff time. Various sources close to the team suggested Simeon Varlamov (16-5-0 with Hershey) will be recalled and assume the No. 1 role heading into the post-season.

ON FIRE
And lastly, is it time we start paying more attention to Miikka Kiprusoff and his quest to break Martin Brodeur’s record for most wins in a season? He came out of the break with 28. He’s 20 shy of tying the mark with 36 games to play and despite Mike Keenan’s intimations he will play Curtis McElhinney more, I suspect Kiprusoff will still see at least 31 starts. The Flames are good, but are they good enough to help their netminder achieve a magical mark?

Brian Duff is a host of On The Fly on the NHL Network. Like his minor hockey days (playing goalie, defense and forward) his broadcasting career has been all over the map. In radio and TV from Medicine Hat to Edmonton, Toronto to Ottawa and back, Brian has been with the NHL Network since 2007 and has been covering the game for nearly 15 years. Read more of his THN.com Blog HERE.

COMMENTS (28)

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James Finney Posted
(2009-04-30 07:50:56)



Yes Matt, that is how the cap hit works and that could work with Thomas. The only problem I have with deals like that is that in 4 years, he's only making $1mil, but his cap hit is $3.5mil and it is very possible that he won't be worth $3.5mil by then. These long contracts that end with lower numbers to lower the cap hit is really going to hurt teams eventually. When Ovechkin is 34, his cap hit is still going to be $9.538mil. Luckily, 34 isn't too old, but he probably won't be worth almost $10mil in cap space then. When Zetterburg is 39, Detroit's cap hit from him will still be 6 or 7 mil, whatever the average of his contract is. I'm not a fan of long-term deals, about 5 years is good for me. Anything longer than that, you risk losing too much cap space for somebody who isn't worth it. A four year deal for Thomas would be alright if he wasn't already 34. He might end up playing until he's 40, you never know, but I'd prefer a two-year deal.
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Josh Posted
(2009-04-30 07:50:53)



Thomas has been very good this season and so has Fernandez -
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Realitycheck Posted
(2009-04-30 07:50:50)



i think any team who signs thomas to a more then one year contract is gonna end up a big loser
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Angelo Posted
(2009-04-30 07:50:13)



I am a die hard Habs fan, but i am also logical. Tim Thomas should not only win the Vezina, he should win the Hart Trophy as well. He is the best reason the Boston Bruins are doing so well. He makes the big saves which gives his offence more confidence than Terrell Owens. The Bruins play a tight defensive game, but when they open the machine, they spit out missles, not bullets. Montreal was off to a good start until Boston destroyed their confidence. That 6-1 game was the turning point for both teams, and Boston prevailed.
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a. campbell Posted
(2009-04-30 07:50:08)



it must be byron dafoes's brother dave who hates tim thomas so much.you suck,too.
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Matt Posted
(2009-04-30 07:49:48)



Is it possible that he signs a slightly longer deal, with a lower salary on the later years (like zetterberg just did)? my understanding is that a players yearly cap hit has to do with with their average salary over the total contract (total money/number of years)... so say its $14 million over the next 4 years ($6 mill, $5 mill, $2 mill, $1 mill), thats a cap hit of $3.5 mill next season, despite him making $6 mill...not bad for an older guy that may or may not still actually be playing in 4 years
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GR47 Posted
(2009-04-30 07:49:16)



Thomas is an average goalie on a great team. Their future is invested in Rask so I don't see a long term deal. I suspect the Bruins will sign him for 3 years at about 4 million a year and let Fernandez walk (he is 34 and way overrated). Rask will back Thomas up next year, play 40 games in 2010 and be the starter after that.
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TimThomasStartsIn2010 Posted
(2009-04-30 07:49:13)



Tim Thomas's agent has already come out and said it would take 3 million a season to get his client signed last off-season. You guys are way too high unless winning the Vezina will suddenly make him greedy. The only question is term. My guess is that he signs a 4 year 12 million dollar contract.
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tim Posted
(2009-04-30 07:49:11)



how about 6.5 mil x 6 yrs
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Dave Dafoe Posted
(2009-04-30 07:49:11)



i dont care how good thomas is, i still hate him
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