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THN.com Blog: Time to move it or lose it

Ilya Kovalchuk has two years remaining on his contract with the Thrashers. (Photo by Dave Sandford/Getty Images)

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Ilya Kovalchuk has two years remaining on his contract with the Thrashers. (Photo by Dave Sandford/Getty Images)

Every season in the NHL is important, but some franchises are facing make-or-break campaigns in 2008-09. Here’s a rundown of which teams are looking at turning points in the near future.

Atlanta Thrashers
Eight seasons, one playoff appearance, zero playoff wins. And all the losing is wearing on franchise face Ilya Kovalchuk, who may not be in Georgia much longer if the Thrashers can’t find a center to set him up. And if Kovalchuk leaves town, how long before the team follows? This franchise needs something good to happen – fast.

Buffalo Sabres
No, the Sabres aren’t about to fold up shop and leave town. But the team that made back-to-back runs to the conference final before falling flat last season – missing the playoffs – needs to re-establish itself as an Eastern Conference contender. If someone (say, Thomas Vanek) steps up as a game-breaker, the Sabres have the depth and the defense to keep pace with the league’s top teams. The supporting cast has to be just that, however.

Chicago Blackhawks
The Hawks are back on TV and back on the road to respectability, too. If Martin Havlat can finally stay healthy, Brian Campbell lives up to his billing, and one of Cristobal Huet or Nikolai Khabibulin can provide solid netminding, the Hawks will make the playoffs for the first time since 2002.

Colorado Avalanche
The Avs have been a top contender (and two-time Stanley Cup champion) since relocating to Denver from Quebec City in 1995. Fans in Colorado have been spoiled by a succession of 100-point regular seasons and long playoff runs. This year, however, might be a harsh reality check. Joe Sakic is still wavering on returning for a 20th NHL season – the smart money says he’ll be back – and a goaltending tandem of Peter Budaj and Andrew Raycroft does not intimidate. Missing the playoffs for a second time in three years is very possible.

Columbus Blue Jackets
It’s been a tough existence for Jackets fans, who have had to try and support a team that’s traditionally been eliminated from playoff contention by January. The past couple of seasons have brought hope in the form of Ken Hitchcock and marginal improvement in the standings, but only a playoff appearance – preferably, an extended one – will provide real relief. New faces R.J. Umberger and Kristian Huselius will get all the ice time they can handle.

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Florida Panthers
After making it to the Stanley Cup final in their third season in 1996, not much has gone right for Florida. Two summers ago, they traded away Roberto Luongo. This summer, they sent top forward Olli Jokinen to Phoenix and franchise defenseman Jay Bouwmeester opted to sign a one-year deal, making him eligible for unrestricted free agency at the end of the season. Young guns Nathan Horton and Stephen Weiss offer hope for the future, but Florida needs the future to be now.

Nashville Predators
In many ways, the Preds are the model expansion franchise of the 1990s. They’ve been patient, building through the draft and developing their own top-notch prospects. They have the same GM and the same coach as when they joined the NHL in 1998. They’ve made the playoffs four consecutive seasons. Problem is, the specter of relocation has chased several top players to leave Nashville (and surely has discouraged most free agents from signing). Not to mention the Preds’ top drafted player, young winger Alexander Radulov, signed in Russia despite having one more year on his NHL contract. Credit the Preds for remaining competitive as everything falls apart around them, but how long can they keep it up?

NY Islanders
The expectations can’t get much lower for a team that has been bland and unexciting for far too long. Mike Comrie and Doug Weight as the top two centers is scary if you’re an Islanders fan, but not to anybody else. Twenty-five years after winning four straight Cups, the Isles have been reduced to a glorified expansion team that too few people care about.

Phoenix Coyotes
Their on-ice advances last season were somewhat overshadowed by the fact the Coyotes can’t draw crowds. Phoenix has lost big money season after season; how long will the owners throw around good money? The Dogs have to make some noise in the standings and generate local buzz; otherwise…it might be back to Winnipeg.

Sam McCaig is The Hockey News' senior copy editor and a regular contributor to THN.com. His blog appears weekly.

For more great profiles, news and views from the world of hockey, Subscribe to The Hockey News magazine.

COMMENTS (50)

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Christopher Columbus Posted
(2009-04-30 06:48:12)



Buffalo nearly a border city? Across a bridge makes it a border city. I did'nt mean they were doing as well as Canadian teams, but they are doing better than most other american teams.
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CanadaHasTooManyTeamsSendSome Posted
(2009-04-30 06:48:08)



Passion, Smashion. As soon as I hear a Canadian talking about "passion" while trying to convince me that more teams should be relocated to Canada my eyes glaze over because I know it's like trying to talk theology with a Moonie...they're locked into their own special brand of crazy (which they're now bottling and marketing to you as "Passion") and you're not going to get anywhere talking to them. I'm pretty sure that since none of you knuckle heads that are alleging that Canadian teams provide most of the League's revenue have actually cited any data or sources of same that you're once again toking on that old goalie stick that you've turned into a bong...How could the six teams in Canada possibly be contributing more revenue to the league than all the other twenty four??? They can't and you're a moron. Ok, Moonies, since there's no more chance of you getting teams in those cities than there is of Don Cherry coaching the Leafs, I'll leave you to that resin encrusted goalie stick that you're sucking on...
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Magellan Posted
(2009-04-30 06:48:08)



Hey genius, besides Detroit, what American teams in "Border Cities" are you talking about? Buffalo is nearly a border town I guess...are they a model of economic success? Teams in New York, New Jersery, Philadelphia are NOT doing well financially? You've got a real scoop on everybody else there, better write it up for THN's next issue quick! Maybe you think Boston is a "Border CIty" - um get an atlas dumbass. No math, no geography...what are you people studying up there? Sidney Crosby's junior league stats?
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Canada Could Support More Tea Posted
(2009-04-30 06:48:07)



Here in Canada, we are not saying that ALL NHL teams should be moved here...but...there are definitely several markets SOLD OUT CROWD ready for NHL hockey. As for TV revenue in the U.S. being so low, this only proves that teams should not be in certain markets. Hockey TV ratings are always high here in Canada. Some markets in the U.S. should stick with what they know...football and nascar. The admin of the NHL should scrap revenue sharing then we will truly see who fuels the NHL.
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Border Teams Posted
(2009-04-30 06:48:07)



The only American NHL teams that do well finacially are in close proximity to the border...Coincidence?
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Dave G Knows Posted
(2009-04-30 06:48:07)



Dave G ...you could not of said it better!
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CanadaHasEnoughTeams Posted
(2009-04-30 06:47:55)



What is it with Canadian fans? The majority of the NHL's revenues is certainly NOT coming from Canadian teams unless you teach math VERY differently up there than they do in the rest of the world. That wouldn't surprise me since as "A.K." reminds us - reason, economics and logic has nothing to do with it, just give the Canadian fans what they want . Yes, by all means lets move ALL the teams to Canada that they want - what will happen?: a minor league sport. You've already got minor league football up there, pushing more teams into marginal markets will pretty much just create amateur hockey where a professional league once was. Realy good idea though...
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Frank T. Posted
(2009-04-30 06:47:54)



Some of these owners use the losses to offset the profits they have in other areas of their investment portfolios.
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Brian Kemp Posted
(2009-04-30 06:47:49)



I keep reading about how Canadian franchises are generating the majority of revenue for the NHL, and that's true. Right now. But some of us seem to have very short memories, because it wasn't that long ago that all of the Canadian franchises, with the exception of Toronto (whose fans will pay to get poked in the eye if the person doing it is wearing a Maple Leaf on their chest), were in danger of being sold and moving to the States. Me, personally, I thought it would be a travesty if the Habs moved out of Montreal, but there actually was a danger there for a while. Like I said, short memories, because what happens when (if) the US dollar makes significant gains on the Canadian dollar? We're back to old ladies emptying out their savings to keep their team in town. So stop saying all these teams need to move to Canada, because the foundation for all the arguments for it aren't terribly solid. And the reason why football works in Green Bay is because TV revenue pays the salaries of every player in the NFL, and that happens without any gate reciepts. The last time I checked, that is not possible with what the NHL gets from TV.
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Steve Harko Posted
(2009-04-30 06:47:44)



I have to hand to Gretzky is for not giving up on coaching. He's had some pretty lousy teams -- for years, he had to sit on the bench and watch some pretty bad teams hack their way thru a season. And that has to be tough -- there's the whole "does a great player make a lousy coach" question. But now, he might have a decent team, and some experience. So I guess we'll see.
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