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THN.com Blog: Who's the next Olli Jokinen?

Olli Jokinen didn't break out until his fifth season in the league when he scored 65 points in 81 games. (Photo by Doug Benc/Getty Images for NHLI)

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Olli Jokinen didn't break out until his fifth season in the league when he scored 65 points in 81 games. (Photo by Doug Benc/Getty Images for NHLI)

Olli Jokinen has played all but one game in the past five seasons and his 374 points during that span ranks among the NHL’s top 10 since 2002-03.

Yet there was a time when Jokinen was considered a bust, a flop, a washout. He had just finished his fourth NHL season in 2001-02 and didn’t yet have 90 total points. He was on his third NHL team on three corners of the United States and all they shared in common was the exasperation they felt with him. Jokinen was a Patrick Stefan before the real Patrick Stefan.

The third overall draft pick in 1997, Jokinen was expected to be a dominant offensive force right from the get-go.

But it wasn’t until he was almost 24, his fifth year in the NHL, that Jokinen blossomed. His 36 goals for the Florida Panthers that year were one more than the 35 he had in his first four years combined.

It would have been too easy to give up on Jokinen in those early years and let him go back to Finland. Us members of the media are often too quick to jump all over top prospects who don’t mature quickly to projected expectations.

So while Jokinen, 29, will continue to flourish in Phoenix – and perhaps play his first playoff game – here are a few more heralded prospects who are candidates for a career breakthrough season in 2008-09.

Gilbert Brule - The sky was the limit for Brule after he was taken sixth overall by Columbus in 2005. He made the Blue Jackets out of training camp, but then sustained two serious injuries that limited him to just 34 games (seven in the NHL).

Brule had no business being in the NHL at 18 years old and his fast-tracking clearly stalled his development. Columbus kept him again as a 19-year-old and he didn’t even play 11 minutes a game en route to a 19-point season. Things got even worse in 2007-08 and this summer he was traded to Edmonton.

Still just 21, Brule is eager for a fresh start in a new environment. He unquestionably has the speed and skill to develop into a producer who can play on the top two lines. It might not happen this season, but it’s far too early to throw him out with the bath water.

Cam Barker - It’s easy to forget the Pittsburgh Penguins were the worst team in the NHL in 2003-04 and were poised to take Alex Ovechkin first overall in the 2004 entry draft. But it was the Washington Capitals who won the draft lottery and moved from third pick to first. The Penguins slipped to second pick and got Evgeni Malkin as a consolation prize.

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The big losers that year were the Chicago Blackhawks. Just one point out of the basement, the Hawks slipped from second pick to third after Washington won the lottery. They went from getting a can’t-miss superstar to a best-of-the-rest prospect.

Cam Barker is no slouch, but he’s a long way removed from Ovechkin and Malkin. Projected to be Chicago’s power play quarterback of the future, the best he can hope for now is being the No. 2 gunslinger behind Brian Campbell.

At 22, Barker has yet to prove himself completely in the NHL and his development has been interminably slow. But with excellent credentials and a roster full of young, talent-laden teammates, Barker is on course to make a steady ascension into top-four defenseman status.

Bobby Ryan – The image of Anaheim GM Brian Burke and Pittsburgh GM Craig Patrick standing at the podium of a unique 2005 draft lottery drawing is still crystal clear. One of those gentlemen would be the winner of the lottery and get the right to select Sidney Crosby. The other? Well, he’d have the right to select anyone not named Sidney Crosby.

The Ducks selected Bobby Ryan second overall that year and three years later, Crosby has out-pointed Ryan 294 to 10 in the NHL.

That doesn’t mean Ryan is a flop, although ex-Edmonton GM Kevin Lowe would have you believe he is. Ryan just turned 21 a few months ago and has shown he can score at every level when given the opportunity. He’ll get that chance this year with the Ducks in the NHL.

Ryan will never challenge Crosby on the scoresheet, but he will become a prominent player on the top two lines in the future. It’s far too early to write him off.

Brian Costello is The Hockey News’s senior special editions editor and a regular contributor to THN.com. You can read his Top 10 list on Wednesdays and his blog each weekend.

For more great profiles, news and views from the world of hockey, Subscribe to The Hockey News magazine.

COMMENTS (32)

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bropete Posted
(2009-04-30 06:58:47)



Nice backpedal razzledazzle.....If the Oilers have to depend on Brule to make the playoff's they're in trouble. Good thing Brule will have a hard time cracking a lineup full of good young players who are now complimented by veterans Cole and Visnovsky. The battle of Alberta will be interesting to watch this year.
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Matthew Posted
(2009-04-30 06:45:02)



I agree with most of the posts. Cam Barker is just waiting to take it to the next level, he may never be the dominant defencmen he was in junior but he could easily develop into an Eric Brewer type shutdown player. I like this article but at the same time the people picked are still quite young, whereas Jokinen was 24 when he broke out...so you have to go back to the 2002 draft to find anyone that might be similar. Somebody mentioned Khari Lehtonen, good possiblity. You also got Pitkanen and Scottie Upshall in there...I like Upshall but judging from Mike Milbury's comments about off-ice problems with Jokinen and how Pitkanen has bounced around...I'm gonna go with Joni. He had a miserable season here last year - if he can get his head on straight, watch out.... I like Brule alot, but I don't think he can crack the lineup to get valuable minutes. He will probably play in the minors to start off with (I don't think he has to clear waivers) and him and Schremp will be early callups. You could even put Schremp on that list almost. Still, next Olli Jokinen is Joni Pitkanen
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Maverick Posted
(2009-04-30 06:44:48)



The flop of all high forward picks should be called the next Alexandre Daigle or Patrick Stefan. For defensemen, Aki Berg.
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DiPietro39 Posted
(2009-04-30 06:44:25)



Lets see the islanders picked 31 players in the last 3 years so I think they are good to go. 5 more years and they will be on top!!!!!!
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wildoil Posted
(2009-04-30 06:44:21)



my pick would be andrew ladd in chicago. this guy has been sitting on the edge for a few yeraes,but so far has not lived up to his scoring potential. the guy he was traded for tuomo ruutu could be put in here to. i just like ladds scoring potential more. he needs to play with more desperation though.
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Seb T Posted
(2009-04-30 06:44:16)



I think Zerdev is reasy to show his worth. Why dont we add Rostislav Olesz and maybe even Kari Lethonen to the mix?
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Brian Kemp Posted
(2009-04-30 06:44:10)



Zherdev is a good one to be on this list, where Barker and Ryan aren't, really. Everyone knows that defensemen take longer than forwards to learn the NHL game, so Barker not being an elite defenseman yet, while the two players taking before him already being superstars is no real suprise. Same goes for Ryan, who, if I remember correctly, was touted as a power forward. It seems like those guys take a little bit longer than the "skill" guys do to develop, and the guy will always suffer in any comparison to the guy taken ahead of him. He also was drafted by an organization that would have the luxury of allowing him to develop at the minor level, unlike Columbus and Brule, where they obviously felt he would be able to develop better. They were wrong. It's too bad he wasn't a couple of years older, so that when the lockout happened, he could've spent that year at the AHL level, like Stahl and Spezza, and learned to dominate at the lower level before moving in to try their hands in the NHL. Spezza and Stahl benefited, and Brule probably would if he were down there, too. Give him ice time and a coach who will play him in all situations, get his confidence back, and he'll be fine. Zherdev needs to play, and I think on the Rangers, he will, with three (and possibly four) of their top six forwards gone.
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Jeff L. Posted
(2009-04-30 06:43:56)



What about Nik Zherdev? I think he's far more likely to break out than Brule, especially with Zherdev now a Ranger.
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fred Posted
(2009-04-30 06:43:54)



now i like the words of dave...not every player is a superstar...expectations have depleted players development for years and teams,owners & management are setting the plateau too high....not everybody is a crosby DETROIT RED WINGS FOR BACK TO BACK CHAMPS
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Mike Posted
(2009-04-30 06:43:51)



Capmess11, if you would of actually read the article you'd find out Costello is asking who's the next player who looks like a bust but just turns out being a late bloomer instead. Dubinsky had a career year last year in his first full NHL season, scored 40 points and played in all 82 games without demotion to the AHL. That is a pretty successful first season, hardly a bust, and thus he doesn't qualify for comparison in this article.
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