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Rumor Roundup: Youngsters cashing in

The Ducks lost Dustin Penner to the Oilers after Anaheim chose not to match Edmonton's offer sheet last summer. (Photo by Andy Devlin/NHLI via Getty Images)

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The Ducks lost Dustin Penner to the Oilers after Anaheim chose not to match Edmonton's offer sheet last summer. (Photo by Andy Devlin/NHLI via Getty Images)

The Stanley Cup playoffs may be in full swing, but off-season concerns are never far from the thoughts of GMs at this time of year, especially regarding their potential free agents.

The July 1 eligibility date for unrestricted free agency may still be more than two months away, but every NHL GM is considering which of their free agents they’ll retain and how to fit the new salaries under next season’s salary cap.

This off-season brings an added measure of risk for GMs – a shorter schedule to re-sign their top RFAs.

In the past, management could take their time with RFA negotiations, secure in the knowledge that, having made qualifying offers to those players, their rights would be retained, thus preventing the players from signing elsewhere.

No longer, thanks to Edmonton Oilers GM Kevin Lowe tendering offer sheets last summer to Buffalo’s Thomas Vanek and Anaheim’s Dustin Penner.

The Sabres matched Lowe’s offer on Vanek, paying considerably more than they intended, but the Ducks opted not to match, allowing Penner to become an Oiler in exchange for Edmonton’s first three draft picks in 2008.

Howls of anger arose around the league after Lowe’s move, led by the Sabres and Ducks. But, thanks to the NHL’s collective bargaining agreement, the Oilers GM was well within his rights.

Offer sheets were an option for GMs under the previous CBA, but were rarely tendered since they were almost always matched. Under the current CBA, however, the salary cap can make it difficult for teams to match such offers, as the Oilers’ successful signing of Penner attests. 

With this summer’s UFA pool considered a shallow one, it’s possible more RFAs could become targets for offer sheets.

That explains why an unusually high number of potential RFA players were re-signed to new contracts over the course of the 2007-08 season. Still, several talented potential RFAs have yet to be inked by their respective clubs. 

That list includes Florida’s Jay Bouwmeester, Philadelphia’s Jeff Carter, Anaheim’s Corey Perry, Pittsburgh’s Marc-Andre Fleury, Columbus’ Pascal Leclaire, Washington’s Mike Green, Minnesota’s Pierre-Marc Bouchard, Montreal’s Andrei Kostitsyn, Ottawa’s Andrej Meszaros and Nashville’s Martin Erat, Shea Weber and Ryan Suter. 

While their respective clubs intend to re-sign them, the longer it takes, the greater the threat of an offer sheet becomes.

This gives those RFAs considerable leverage in contract negotiations. In the past, the only option they would’ve had to land a better deal was to stage a holdout, which rarely worked well for the player in terms of dollars and performance.

But now, GMs are under pressure to re-sign their best RFAs and avoid the dreaded offer sheet, meaning younger players are now commanding lucrative deals that, in the past, would’ve gone to veterans with considerably more time in the NHL.

Re-signing a RFA is the best method to avoid an offer sheet, but it’s not the only one.

A GM can take the player to salary arbitration, as the CBA dictates. A player whose contract negotiations are headed for arbitration is ineligible to receive an offer sheet. The New York Rangers successfully used this tactic last summer with goaltender Henrik Lundqvist. The same rule is in play if the player applies for salary arbitration.

Such a move buys the GM a few extra weeks of bargaining time in hopes of reaching an agreement and avoiding arbitration, so it wouldn’t be surprising if more GMs pursue that option this summer.

The only other choice for a GM is to hope that if an RFA player is eligible for unrestricted free agency next summer, he and his agent spurn an offer sheet to cash in on the riches of the UFA market.

The player could consider this a more enticing option if he’s toiling for a mediocre team and unwilling to risk them matching an offer sheet and robbing him of the opportunity to play for a better club and earn considerably more money the following year.

A Florida newspaper recently suggested that could be an option for the Panthers’ Bouwmeester. He’s eligible for UFA status next summer and might only want to sign a one-year contract with the Panthers, rather than risk them matching an offer sheet from a rival team, thus tying him to Florida, longer.

The threat of offer sheets this summer had a significant impact on RFA contract negotiations throughout the NHL over the past season, and it’s expected to remain a factor as the summer nears.

Rumor Roundup appears Mondays only on thehockeynews.com. Lyle Richardson has been an NHL commentator since 1998 on his website, www.spectorshockey.net, and is a contributing writer for Foxsports.com and Eishockey Magazine.

COMMENTS (12)

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Jon Posted
(2009-04-30 06:12:12)



Buffalo may have come off well with the Vanek situation, but I agree with Steve's comments about the salary structure being broken. A lot of value in UFA contracts was the fact that they had a record. A guy who had scored 50 goals once, but always got over 25 for 10 years was worth a lot of money. A guy who has one or two seasons and scored 50G is now worth the same or more as that UFA. I don't care how good your scouting is--you can't predict what will happen to players--injuries, psyche, etc.--that far in to the future to commit the kind of cap space teams are committing.
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DarwellRude Posted
(2009-04-30 06:11:59)



Kevin Lowe rules!!!!!!
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Craig Posted
(2009-04-30 06:11:40)



Steve, for your information, Kevin Lowe didn't eliminate arbitration, and if a team (like say the NY Rangers) chooses to take an RFA player (like say Lundqvist) to arbitration then that player is no longer eligible for any offer sheets. Teams are hesitant to do this because then players only get 1 or two year deals and a team risks losing them later, when the player is cheesed off about not getting to maximize his value or being slammed on record by his GM (see Camaleri, Micheal in LA). As for the Vanek offer sheet, yes it was well above what Vanek might be worth right now, but Buffalo fans should be thanking Lowe, chances are Thomas will be the only star that cheapskate franchise retains; they'd never have spent the money to keep him off the open market when the time came. Buffalo fans should be hoping someone tenders offers to Miller, Roy and Pominville so the Sabres can forgo there inept efforts to negotiate and just sign their remaining talent. I think this is nuts that I'm having to champion Kevin Lowe, I'm not even an Oiler's Fan, but if you think Lowe should in any way be faulted for predicating his offer based on talent and potential rather then the type of free agency a player is enjoying your even more ridiculous then Sean Avery.
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Steve Posted
(2009-04-30 06:11:37)



Craig. Other than the Hartnell contract (UFA contracts and RFA contracts are predicated upon different variables. See: Lapointe, Martin and Holik, Bobby), the other contracts you note (most specifically Richards) were, themselves, products of Kevin Lowe's rearrangement of compensation in the NHL. The Penner contract is not indicative of the damage done by Lowe (it's overcompensation, but like the Clarke offer to Kesler, it isn't gross overcompensation). Instead, it's the Vanek offer sheet that's caused the real damage. With the Vanek offer, Kevin Lowe has subjected all other GMs interested in keeping budding stars with two choices a) throw a bonafide Hail Mary contract to a player who might amount to nothing b) risk losing them. Previously, processes like arbitration could be used to try and find a more reasonable medium between the 450k management wishes it could pay Vanek and the 10mm Lowe forced Regier into shelling out. Kevin Lowe's offer sheet to Vanek changed all that. Suppose Jeff Carter becomes an RFA and is not tendered an offer sheet. He files for arbitration. In his arbitration hearing, he notes that his career statistics are comparable to, but not quite the same as, recent $10mm RFA recipient Vanek. The court notes the correctness of this argument and, since courts have no way of judging that Vanek is greatly overpaid, awards Carter a 2-year $16mm contract. Jeff Carter, a second line forward, is now better-paid than recent contract signatories Jarome Iginla, Ilya Kovalchuk, Marc Savard and Joe Thornton, all of which, unlike Carter, are franchise players. The league's salary structure is now broken. Future contracts for franchise players will have to greatly exceed the amount Carter is paid. A high number of never-will-be's (not suggesting Carter is one) eat up many teams' cap space. Revenue doesn't grow quickly enough to meet this new reality. Another lockout ensues. That's Kevin Lowe's legacy.
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Shannon Posted
(2009-04-30 06:11:36)



Craig - you're a Rock Star! Love the fact your posts are informed, mostly unbiased (no one is completely unbiased!) and super interesting to read :)
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Craig Posted
(2009-04-30 06:11:35)



I'm sure Hossa's sudden playoff scoring aptitude has nothing to do with his current team mates. I was not trying to slam the Penguins trade in any way. I think Shiro made one of the best moves of the trade deadline, a move that might ahve saved Nonis job in Vancouver. My only point is that he payed to rent a player to take a serious run at a cup. Lowe was not in position to take a run at good ol' Stanley, he needed to start rebuilding, and he got a solid, effective player for a moderate price. He had to go that high, or Burke would have been able to match. You can argue all you want, but if you think for a minute that the Pens can afford to sign Hossa longterm and still take care of the slew of young talent that will be up for new contracts in the next few years (Malkin, Staal, Fleury, Talbot, etc...) then you must still be using an abicus. Your other argument that no player should jump from 500k to 4.5 mil, seems to overlook the jump Crosby and Ovechkin made. No i'm not comparing those players to Penner, so don't get all excited, my point is that every good young player either gets a significant bump coming off their entry contract, or they get to enjoy the culture of Switzerland and Russia. Just this past year Legwand (15 goals) jumped to 4.5million, Hartnell (24 goals) to 4.2 million, Horton (27 goals) to 4 million and Richards (28 goals) 5.75 million for the next 12 years! Penner has a contract that is right in line with the market, it's just that he was on a different team when he signed it.
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thetooth Posted
(2009-04-30 06:11:32)



Please refresh my memory of how big of a role Penner played in getting that ring in his first full NHL season. Dont get me wrong I think the guy is a good player and can become a corner stone in Edmonton but offering 4.5MIL to a guy who's previous contract was worth approx. $500K is risky to say the least. That is the inflation that I am talking about. It is like Daryl states..Pitsb needed a winger and they got the BEST available one on the market... There is NO reason Pitsb doesnt make the east final. Mean while Lowe will already have his putting fine tuned. Also I merely stated that the oilers had best be ready for such debocery if they can't get Gagner locked up before his contract is up.
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Daryl Moncrief Posted
(2009-04-30 06:11:31)



I constantly see comments referring to the difficulty the Penguins will have re-signing Malkin, and just laugh. First, Malkin isn't RFA until NEXT year. Second. Penguins are at the bottom of the cap STILL. They have $10 mil. cap room NOW, that room should only increase. Also, regarding the trade. The Penguins had too many centers. Crosby, Malkin, Staal, are three strong Centers that could play on the top line of most Hockey clubs. Where on earth could you fit Espisito anyway? He was trade bait the moment they drafted him. Christiansen ALSO was a center. Atlanta got a good deal, but the Penguins were loaded with good players and no place to play them. Hossa is tied for second on the team with points this playoff round. Wingers were what the Penguins needed and Hossa is the best available winger this season and the off-season. If he doesn't produce in the playoffs, he won't get a big contract. If he does, the Penguins could be trotting the cup around. As far as overpaying, just look at St. Louis with Kariya, or Philadelphia with Briere, or NY with Gomez and Drury. None of these players had years worthy of their salaries. Penner has a cup because of his Anaheim teamates. He certainly didn't bring one to Edmonton did he?
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Brad Posted
(2009-04-30 06:11:29)



wow, Craig, you just schooled thetooth. Good job, great examples, I like Kevin Lowe, sick of him being vilified
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Craig Posted
(2009-04-30 06:11:24)



I can compare them quite easily thanks, Penner has a Stanley Cup ring, Hossa doesn't. In last years playoffs Penner had 3 goals and 5 assists, Hossa had 0 goals and 1 assist. Penner is 25 and still has lots of room to improve, Hossa is 30, and like many players now carries the risk of a severe drop off in production. This past season Penner had 23 goals only 6 behind Hossa; and Penner had to play Luongo, Kipper, Backstrom, and a revitalized Theodore 32 times, not to mention Giguere, Nobokov, Brysgalov, Turco and Khabibulin, while Hossa got to fire pucks at such noted goal tenders as Marc Denis/Johan Holmqvist, Brent Johnston, Andrew Raycroft, Alex Auld, Tim Thomas, Wade Dubliwiez Ray "head case" Emery and struggling youngsters Miller, and Ward. Playing Tampa, or Toronto alone is worth at least 6 goals. Some one will sign Hossa to a massive contract this summer well in excess of the 4.5 Penner makes, and then will be saddled with it when his production drops off, making him untradeable, like so many others (see Murray, Naslund, Bertuzzi, Mogilny, Palfy, Samsonov, Blake, Tucker, Handzus...). Your assertion that Lowe will lose Gagner as an RFA is based on the assumption he won't sign him before eligibility, I find that unlikely. Lastly as I already stated, Penner will be in Edmonton contributing for years, while the assest surrendered were of unknown quality, Hossa will be departing once Pittsburgh is eliminated from the Playoffs (unless you think Shiro will sign him ahead of Malkin) while Colby Armstrong and Eric Christensen are proven NHLers, while Esposito is a very strong first round prospect. Your inflationary argument, that you've so blindly borrowed from Burke ignores the fact the market was going to inflate regardless. $10 million for Drury or Briere? or Burkes own guffaw of $4 million for Bertuzzi? All that changed is that teams are now having to hedge their bets on what players migth do instead of paying for the right to sell promises and tickets to fans based on what players were once capable of. Anyone actually think McCabe is worth his contract? or Hatcher? Federov? Nagy? I'll compare the two, and then I'll hapilly take Penner, because I'd rather win a cup then watch Hossa figure skate through the regular season, and with Penner I still have cap room to resign Gagner, Cogliano and Gilbert.
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