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THN.com Blog: Why I’m picking the Senators

Martin Gerber has struggled at times this season, but has been great against the Penguins, going 2-0-1. (Photo by Andre Ringuette/NHLI via Getty Images)

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Martin Gerber has struggled at times this season, but has been great against the Penguins, going 2-0-1. (Photo by Andre Ringuette/NHLI via Getty Images)

Only the Pittsburgh Penguins know for sure whether they threw their last game of the regular season in order to draw the Ottawa Senators as a playoff opponent.

But the fact is it doesn’t matter.

They created the perception they tanked their last game and at this time of year, that’s enough to motivate your opponent, particularly when it’s lead by someone as manipulative as Senators coach Bryan Murray.

Karma is just one of the reasons why I’m picking the Senators to shock the Penguins in the first round of the playoffs, even without Daniel Alfredsson and Mike Fisher. It’s certainly not the most prominent reason. Heck, stuff like that happens all the time.

The Nashville Predators looked an awful lot like they wanted to avoid the San Jose Sharks in the first round, and was it just me or did it look like the Vancouver Canucks were doing everything they could to get Jarome Iginla his 50th goal of the season Saturday night?

Here are a couple of other reasons:

• The Penguins will one day be a great team, perhaps a Stanley Cup champion. But if you go back in history, you find every great team had a number of playoff disappointments to their credit before they learned how to win in the playoffs. I think the Penguins are still one monumental collapse away from that exalted status.

• THN.com’s Ottawa contributor Murray Pam sent along a very interesting statistic. Martin Gerber has a career record of 4-0-1 against the Penguins, including 2-0-1 this season. Marc-Andre Fleury, on the other hand, has a 3-8 record against the Senators including playoffs and played only 11 minutes against Ottawa this season.

• Marian Hossa’s playoff performances, with the exception of three years ago, have been very sub-par. Yes, he has been part of three teams that have been swept, but part of the reason they were swept was because he played so poorly.

• I’m not convinced Daniel Alfredsson is as seriously injured as the Senators are making him out to be. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a miraculous comeback at some point in this series.

OFF THE ICE, TO THE WEIGHT ROOM
Daulton Leveille has about eight weeks to add some bulk to his frame and convince NHL scouts he isn’t a 165-pound weakling.

The St. Catharines Jr. B star, who is garnering all kinds of attention as a possible first-round pick, saw his season end Monday night when his Falcons were eliminated from the playoffs. Leveille went straight from the ice to the weight room to prepare for the NHL’s draft combine in June.

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The problem is, Leveille has never really worked out in his life and needs to add some strength before doing the bench press in front of representatives from all 30 NHL teams. He checks in at just a touch under 5-foot-11 and 165 pounds and obviously has to get stronger both for the NHL and Michigan State, where he is scheduled to play next season.

But Leveille remains an intriguing prospect. In his Ontario League draft year two years ago, Leveille was just 5-foot-7 and the Ottawa 67s took him in the sixth round. At his first OHL camp he was 140 pounds.

The 67s tried to get him to join their team this season and will undoubtedly continue a full-court press through the summer, but Leveille has apparently already made up his mind to go the U.S. college route.

After scoring 29 goals and 56 points in 45 games this season, Leveille finished second in Golden Horseshoe Junior League playoff scoring with 14 goals and 30 points in 16 games.

HAWKS CONTINUE TO CLEAN HOUSE
Jim De Maria, who was considered one of the best in the media relations business and had worked tirelessly for the Blackhawks for 25 years was let go by the club the day after the season ended.

De Maria was let go by Blackhawks president John McDonough, who was brought over from the Chicago Cubs after Bill Wirtz’s death earlier this season. De Maria and McDonough go back about a quarter of a century to their days when both worked for the Chicago Sting soccer team.

“I guess I had a little different philosophy,” De Maria said. “I can’t say much about it. I had 25 years and it was a good run.”

Said one Chicago beat reporter: “I’ve covered every team in this town and he was by far the best media guy there is. You wouldn’t find a more loyal guy and I guess that was what did him in.”

Ken Campbell is a senior writer for The Hockey News and a regular contributor to THN.com. His blog appears Tuesdays and Fridays and his column, Campbell's Cuts, appears Mondays.

For more great profiles, news and views from the world of hockey, Subscribe to The Hockey News magazine.

COMMENTS (15)

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Marcel Smith Posted
(2009-04-30 06:11:41)



you have watched hockey before, right? You really thought Ottawa would win?!?...was this a belated April Fool's article?!? . . . to whomever mentioned Malkin getting 4.5 million....you forgot to multiply by 2...it'll be at least 9 million per yr.
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Karol Posted
(2009-04-30 06:11:09)



Nice but it "ain't" happening! Pittsburg has way too much talent to loose to the Sen's
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JC Posted
(2009-04-30 06:10:46)



Great prediction...the sens played sweet in game one.
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ronnie woo woo Posted
(2009-04-30 06:10:40)



The best in the business? come on, the Hawks were off the map in the city of chicago! Terrible marketing and communications. good riddance, De Maria.
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Andy O'Gorman Posted
(2009-04-30 06:10:30)



I believe that the Sens will take the series.I do think that Ottawa is up to the challenge,with or without Alfie and Fisher.They are going to need to get physical right off the mark. I do believe that Heatly and Spezza have to step up and play their best and also need to take a leadership role. I also believe that Neil will play a crucial part in Ottawa's game, both as an inspirational leader and as a pain in the a** to Crosby. I hope Rutu gets leveled in the first minute of the game.I do believe that the Pens are getting way too much respect from the media.Perhaps they're acting on a directive from Bettman....
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James Finney Posted
(2009-04-30 06:10:29)



I still don't get why everyone thinks the Pens are gonna be some amazing team soon. They have 9mil in Crosby, if they go nowhere in the playoffs and let Hossa go then he was a waste, and Malkin is going to get at least 4.5mil (because of RFA status) which he won't sign for long term. Pretty soon they'll be just like Tampa Bay - a few big names, the rest of the team is horrible.
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Jim Boucher Posted
(2009-04-30 06:10:29)



I agree. Sens take series.I think sid the kid and the pens backd off in the last game of the season because they didn't want to face the flyers in the playoffs because they knew it would be a battle.Battles are what the playoffs are all about ,and if you dont thrive on them, you play golf
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Matthew Carulli Posted
(2009-04-30 06:10:21)



I'm looking back in history, and I'm seeing Mario Lemieux win the Stanley Cup in his 2nd season in the postseason. Sure, he was a bit older then than Crosby (or Malkin, since he's arguably better than Sid because of his scoring touch) is now, but the assumption that you have to have "a number of playoff disappointments" before becoming a contender is absurd. Ken, most of your reasons, like anyone else's reasons I've seen for picking the Sens in this series, are based on irrelevant history. Fleury's career numbers vs Sens: irrelevant. Did anybody in Ottawa realize that he hasn't let up more than 3 goals in a game in 21 games? He's let up more than 2 in just ONE of those 21 games. Hossa being a career postseason underachiever? He was on a bad team last year, and when he was swept with Ottawa he had 2 HUGE goals in game 1, and the game winner in game 4 as well. You want him to score every goal, or what? The label that he underachieves in the playoffs was branded on him by the media at the trade deadline. Before the Pens acquired him, all the talk was on how great an asset he is to whoever gets him. Even if Alfredsson comes back, the Sens will win no more than 2 games. If the Pens steal a game in Ottawa it's over, because the Pens haven't lost in Pittsburgh since an OT loss Feb 24 vs San Jose. It's April by the way. If you want to talk about history that is relevant, you should probably mention Fleury's current streak and the Penguins' home win streak of 8 games in a row.
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bill Posted
(2009-04-30 06:10:20)



ken, your nutts!!! the sens tanked the last half of the season by no choice of their own. no way they beat pens and im not a pens fan.
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Peter Posted
(2009-04-30 06:10:20)



Ottawa in 7 games. Pit will be better than last year, but our run from last year will give us the edge. Keep an eye on the line of Vermette, Stillman and Neil. Stillmans experience, Neils grit and with Vermette FINALLY in his natural position and given a chance to be a top two center man, they might be what Ottawa has been mising all year.....a solid second line. I love Fisher, but since they traded Shafer,he has been lost.They would get it done in 6 games if Spez and Heater had a solid line mate. GO SENS GO! OTT VS SJ FOR THE CUP!
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